Bai Lin
Bai Lin
Bai Lin, female, senior financial reporter of China business daily, is a graduate student majoring in economics in the school of Humanities and social sciences of Tsinghua University. The coverage covers capital market, macroeconomic policy interpretation, financing of small and medium-sized enterprises, P2P small loan business, operation of investment banks, commercial banks and urban commercial banks, VC / PE capital operation, and private charity foundation. In 2009, he won the second prize of national business good news award. CCTV2 member of the media observation group of CCTV financial channel's "opponent" column, and special guest of "one hammer to sound". Together with the chief economists of Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Nomura Securities and many other well-known international investment banks in China, we plan to publish "China's economy a hard landing?" which is the first professional work in the economic field to gather the chief economists of top investment banks in China to examine China's economy.
essential information
Name: Bai Lin gender: Female
Birthplace: Liaoning
Hobbies: guzheng, piano, calligraphy unit: China business newspaper
Title: reporter of financial news department
Reporting areas: capital market, macro economy, financing of small and medium-sized enterprises, investment banks, commercial banks, city commercial banks, VC / PE.
Main experience
1. Senior high school: from 2000 to 2003, senior high school affiliated to Bohai University, Jinzhou City;
2. Undergraduate stage: School of economics and management, Shenyang Normal University (now international business school) from 2003 to 2007;
3. Master's degree: Master's degree in economics, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Tsinghua University from 2010 to 2012;
4. Working stage: from 2007 to now, China business press;
Awards
His work "where to go for a private charity without foreign milk" was awarded the second prize of the 21st (2009) national business daily good news.
His work "advantages and disadvantages behind 7 trillion local investment" was awarded the second prize of the 24th (2012) national business daily good news.
Main monograph
From May 2012 to March 2013, he worked with Mao Zengyu, the head of China Economic Publishing House, and Fu Peng, the chief macroeconomic consultant of Galaxy futures, planned to publish "thoughts of the chief economist: will China's economy have a hard landing?" and was responsible for all the interviews.
The first volume of the book series has invited chief economists (chief advisers) from top international and domestic financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Nomura Securities, DBS, etc. They expressed representative views on whether China's economy has bottomed out and rebounded, and the trend of China's macro-economy in 2013 and in the medium and long term.
Among them, Li Xunlei, chief economist of Haitong Securities, said that people have misjudged China's economic structure. Investment is overvalued, while consumption is undervalued. Through the rebalancing of investment and consumption, China's economic growth potential can be increased. Zhang Zhiwei, chief economist of Nomura Securities in China, believes that China's medium - and long-term potential growth rate is slowing down. Goldman Sachs / Gaohua China macro Song Yu, an economist, believes that reform should be used to prevent the economy from sliding to the bottom; Qiao Hong, chief economist of Morgan Stanley Greater China, believes that the economy is still in the downward stage, but it is close to the bottom; while Zhong Jian, chief expert of Shanghai e-commerce research center, and his research team have made a reasonable explanation for the strange phenomenon that international oil prices are divorced from supply and demand, and predicted it China's economy will not "lose", but the cost of recovery will remain high; Liang Zhaoji, chief economist of DBS Bank in Greater China, believes that if we stimulate the economy through loose monetary policy, it will increase the risk of China's economic hard landing; Peng Wensheng, chief economist of China International Finance Corporation, says that short-term economic stabilization still depends on infrastructure investment; and chief economist of Andersen securities Gao Shanwen said that China's economy will recover in a "U" shape; Jiang Chao, chief researcher of Guotai Junan Securities macro bonds, believes that industrial relocation will continue to promote China's economic growth; Guan Qingyou, vice president of Minsheng Securities Research Institute, has submitted a 2013 China economic report, emphasizing that China will get out of recession through the new "four modernizations" cycle; pan Xiangdong, chief economist of galaxy securities, is still aware of this China's economy has encountered a bottleneck in the medium term and must rely on reform to drive long-term development. Fu Peng, chief macroeconomic adviser of Galaxy futures, believes that China's economy will walk out of the recovery road in an "n" shape in 2013.
The interview of chief economists in the book was completed in the third and fourth quarters of 2012. Although these chief economists have carried out independent research, based on the focus of the topic, their views have a lot of intersection, and many of them are tit for tat. For example, when it comes to the situation of China's economy, there are at least three different views: U-shaped, L-shaped and n-shaped; when it comes to monetary policy, there is also a debate about whether it should be relaxed or not; in the "three carriages" to start the economy, the proportion of investment is high or low, the difference is obvious; whether coastal industries should be moved in, the conclusions are quite different It is no exaggeration to say that in the book "thoughts of the chief economist (I) -- whether China's economy will" hard land ", the chief economist prepared a" feast of views ".
Chinese PinYin : Bai Lin
Bai Lin
